欧元/美元:横盘整理展望 – 荷兰合作银行
荷兰合作银行研究全球经济与市场部门讨论了在德国债务刹车乐观情绪降温后,欧元情绪的冷却,政治风险和结构性逆风对该货币构成压力。

RaboResearch全球经济与市场讨论了在德国债务刹车乐观情绪降温后,欧元情绪的变化,政治风险和结构性逆风对该货币构成压力。该行指出,欧元/美元已反映出欧洲央行(ECB)再次加息的预期,预计未来几个月将在当前水平附近横盘整理,远期仅有温和的上行偏向。

2025年飙升后欧元情绪降温

“尽管较高的短期利率对货币有支撑作用,但市场已完全计入今年欧洲央行的另一轮加息,表明再一次政策动作不太可能为欧元提供太多支撑。总体来看,我们预计欧元/美元在1至3个月内将在接近当前水平的区间内横盘交易。”

“无论如何,值得注意的是,2025年第二季度欧元是G10货币中表现第二好的,仅次于避险货币瑞士法郎。这凸显了欧元在该期间欧元/美元大幅上涨中所起的作用。”

“欧元现在似乎已失去那种动能,这对欧元/美元的前景有明确影响。”

“在我们看来,市场在未来几个月可能不愿意重建欧元的大规模多头头寸。尽管如此,尽管美元受益于美国经济的韧性,RaboResearch认为对美联储鹰派押注已被过度。”

“我们预计欧元/美元在3个月内将横盘整理,而在3至6个月内该货币对将出现温和的上行偏向。”

(本文借助人工智能工具生成,并由编辑审核。 了解更多。

More than a million users rely on FXStreet for real-time market data, charting tools, expert insights, and forex news. Its comprehensive economic calendar and educational webinars help traders stay informed and make calculated decisions. FXStreet is supported by a team of about 60 professionals, split between the Barcelona headquarters and various global regions.
Read More

LIVE QUOTES

Name / Symbol
Chart
% Change / Price
GBPUSD
1 D change
+0%
0
EURUSD
1 D change
+0%
0
USDJPY
1 D change
+0%
0

ALL ABOUT FOREX

Explore More Tools
Trading Academy
Browse a wide range of educational articles covering trading strategies, market insights, and financial fundamentals, all in one place.
Learn More
Courses
Explore structured trading courses designed to support your growth at every stage of your trading journey.
Learn More
Webinar
Join live and on-demand webinars to gain real-time market insights and trading strategies from industry experts.
Learn More