欧元/美元:波动区间展望 – 荷兰合作银行
荷兰合作银行(Rabobank)高级外汇策略师简·福利(Jane Foley)指出,欧元/美元近期跌破此前一个月预测的1.15水平,促使对预测进行重新评估。

荷兰合作银行高级外汇策略师简·福利指出,欧元/美元近期跌破此前1个月的1.15预测,促使其重新评估预测。RaboResearch已适度调整了1至12个月的预测表,略微偏向美元,但表示其整体观点基本未变,预计欧元/美元将在下半年围绕1.14–1.15区间震荡,并在12个月内回升至1.16。

区间震荡格局,略偏美元

“上个月欧元/美元跌破了我们之前1个月的1.15预测,这迫使我们重新评估前景。”

“虽然我们本周适度调整了1至12个月的预测表,略微偏向美元,但我们的整体前景与去年年底相比变化不大。”

“我们维持观点,欧元/美元将难以重拾去年大部分时间表现出的方向性上升趋势,未来几个月该货币对更可能在震荡区间内波动。”

“话虽如此,与当前市场定价相反,RaboResearch预计美联储将维持利率不变直至今年年底。”

“我们预计今年下半年将围绕1.14至1.15的震荡区间波动,随着市场鹰派美联储观点的减弱,12个月内将回升至1.16。”

(本文由人工智能工具协助生成,编辑审核。)

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